Historian Victor Davis Hansen, writing in
NRO on February 19, notes the geopolitical similarities between the world of the 1930s and the world of today:
Putin, the Islamic State, and Iran at first glance have as little
in common as did Germany, Italy, and Japan. But like the old Axis, they
are all authoritarians that share a desire to attack their neighbors.
And they all hate the West.
The grandchildren of those who appeased the dictators of the 1930s once
again prefer in the short term to turn a blind eye to the current
fascists. And the grandchildren of the survivors of the Holocaust once
again get blamed.
The 1930s should have taught us that aggressive autocrats do not have to
like each other to share hatred of the West.
The 1930s should have demonstrated to us that old-time American
isolationism and the same old European appeasement will not prevent but
only guarantee a war.
Meanwhile, some of the left's apologists, such as
Steven Pinker and Andrew Mack at Slate, paint a rosy picture worthy of Pravda's descriptions of unrelenting Soviet triumph. As long as the "progressive" tribe is in power, the trend lines are
incapable of being anything but positive:
The world is not falling apart. The kinds of violence to which most people are vulnerable—homicide, rape, battering, child abuse—have been in steady decline in most of the world. Autocracy is giving way to democracy. Wars between states—by far the most destructive of all conflicts—are all but obsolete. The increase in the number and deadliness of civil wars since 2010 is circumscribed, puny in comparison with the decline that preceded it, and unlikely to escalate.
We have been told of impending doom before: a Soviet invasion of Western Europe, a line of dominoes in Southeast Asia, revanchism in a reunified Germany, a rising sun in Japan, cities overrun by teenage superpredators, a coming anarchy that would fracture the major nation-states, and weekly 9/11-scale attacks that would pose an existential threat to civilization.
Why is the world always “more dangerous than it has ever been”—even as a greater and greater majority of humanity lives in peace and dies of old age?