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September 2, 2004

Another significant cultural divide

The Washington Post reports (in an article cleverly titled "From Here to Maternity") that people in the "red" (GOP-dominant/leaning) states are reproducing more rapidly than people in the "blue" (Democrat-dominant/leaning) states. In fact, the fertility rate in red states is above population replacement levels, while the rate in the blue states is below replacement levels. Maybe we should just wait this out*.

Best of the Web sees this as a different way of describing what it calls the "Roe Effect":
If a pregnant woman chooses tomorrow to have an abortion, the result in 2021 [18 years after the article was written] will be one fewer eligible voter--and that's a statement of fact, not a moral judgment. If tens of millions of women have abortions over decades, as they have, it will eventually have a significant effect on the voting-age population.

Not all women, after all, are equally likely to have abortions. It's almost a truism that women who have abortions are more pro-choice than those who carry their pregnancies to term, and it stands to reason that they generally have more-liberal attitudes about sex and religion. It also seems reasonable to assume that parents have some influence on their children, so that if liberal women are having abortions, the next generation will be more conservative than it otherwise would be.
*Note for the humor-impaired: Just kidding.

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